By Amb. Prof. Mohamed A. Qubaty When geography becomes leverage, the narrowest waterways carry the greatest strategic weight. The Middle East isn’t stabilizing. It’s stalling. What we are witnessing is not a transition toward resolution, but a prolonged state of strategic limbo — a condition where conflicts are neither escalating into full-scale war nor resolving […]
by Giovanni Giacalone On April 14, Yom HaShoah, in an unfortunate coincidence of timing, the Meloni government announced the suspension of the automatic renewal of its defense agreement with Israel, as reported by Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on the sidelines of Vinitaly in Verona. The ANSA news agency also reported that Defense Minister Guido […]
by Mohammed Salem Mujawar An Analysis of Recent Developments in the Yemeni Conflict and Its Options in Light of the Islamabad Negotiations Executive Summary Six weeks after the violent escalation that began with a U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran (February 28, 2026), the War of the Corridors is no longer a passing crisis remote from our […]
By Amb. Prof. Mohamed Qubaty The Structural Limits of Maritime Deterrence For much of the past decade, international approaches to Red Sea security have focused on maritime deterrence: naval patrols, interdictions, and multinational coalitions designed to contain immediate threats. These measures have played an important stabilizing role, ensuring continuity of global trade and energy flows […]
By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty For more than a decade, the Middle East has lived under a paradox that is rarely acknowledged explicitly: the more the international community fears escalation, the longer destabilizing actors survive. What was once presented as prudence and restraint has gradually evolved into a strategic pattern of hesitation, in which avoiding […]
By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty The Security Council’s move reflects a broader realization: partial conflict management has failed, and the Red Sea crisis is forcing a recalibration of Yemen strategy. The Failure of the Freeze The UN Security Council’s move to terminate the UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement (UNMHA) is being framed in […]