May 3, 2026
Iran
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Statecraft and Faultlines 13: Strategic Overconfidence, Iran, Ukraine, and AI

by Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Irina Tsukerman How do strategic overconfidence, shifting war aims, and artificial intelligence reshape the risks of quagmire in Iran and Ukraine? Irina Tsukerman is a human rights and national security attorney based in New York and Connecticut. She earned her Bachelor of Arts in National and Intercultural Studies and Middle […]

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The World’s Most Dangerous Bottlenecks Aren’t Failing — They’re Frozen

By Amb. Prof. Mohamed A. Qubaty When geography becomes leverage, the narrowest waterways carry the greatest strategic weight. The Middle East isn’t stabilizing. It’s stalling. What we are witnessing is not a transition toward resolution, but a prolonged state of strategic limbo — a condition where conflicts are neither escalating into full-scale war nor resolving […]

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Statecraft and Faultlines 12: AI Warfare, Civilian Harm, and International Humanitarian Law

by Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Irina Tsukerman Irina Tsukerman is a human rights and national security attorney based in New York and Connecticut. She earned her Bachelor of Arts in National and Intercultural Studies and Middle East Studies from Fordham University in 2006, followed by a Juris Doctor from Fordham University School of Law in […]

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Milan’s Liberation Day fiasco: the police remove the Jews from parade to avoid repelling the pro-Palestinian far-left extremists

by Giovanni Giacalone The April 25 Liberation Day celebrations in Milan had an embarrassing outcome for local authorities as Jews were removed from the procession after a paralysis lasting over two hours as the group was blocked by hundreds of far-left, pro-Palestinian and pro-Iranian regime demonstrators carrying Palestinian, Hezbollah and Iranian flags and yelling anti-Semitic […]

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Meloni moves closer to the Sanchez line in search for pro-Palestinian votes

by Giovanni Giacalone On April 14, Yom HaShoah, in an unfortunate coincidence of timing, the Meloni government announced the suspension of the automatic renewal of its defense agreement with Israel, as reported by Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on the sidelines of Vinitaly in Verona. The ANSA news agency also reported that Defense Minister Guido […]

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From the Complexities of Hormuz to the Chokepoint of the Red Sea: The Gulf’s New Lung to Breathe the Breeze of the Arabian Sea

by Mohammed Salem Mujawar An Analysis of Recent Developments in the Yemeni Conflict and Its Options in Light of the Islamabad Negotiations Executive Summary Six weeks after the violent escalation that began with a U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran (February 28, 2026), the War of the Corridors is no longer a passing crisis remote from our […]

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Trump’s betrayal of the Iranian people and Qatar’s role in safeguarding the regime

by Giovanni Giacalone The US President Donald Trump is at it again. The first time, he betrayed the Iranian people by inciting them to demonstrate and “take over the institutions”, promising a “help” that never arrived. He first threatened the regime with retaliation if it kept slaughtering demonstrators and then, he backed off, stating that […]

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When Fear Becomes Strategy: How Iran and Its Proxies Rewrote Deterrence in the Middle East

By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty For more than a decade, the Middle East has lived under a paradox that is rarely acknowledged explicitly: the more the international community fears escalation, the longer destabilizing actors survive. What was once presented as prudence and restraint has gradually evolved into a strategic pattern of hesitation, in which avoiding […]

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Trump’s Middle East fiascos to satisfy Qatar

by Giovanni Giacalone The Middle East is in turmoil as the Kurds in the north-east of Syria are being massacred by al-Jolani’s jihadists while prisoners belonging to ISIS are escaping from prisons. In Gaza, Hamas is rebuilding its forces and gathering weapons for a new offensive against Israel. In Lebanon, Hezbollah did not disarm and […]

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The U.S.’s Red Sea Dilemma vs Yemen’s Evasive Peace Settlement

By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty What is unfolding today across the Middle East is not the calm after Gaza, but the re-emergence of competing security architectures — a tangled web where trade routes and power balances intersect. From the Red Sea to the Levant, the region faces a defining moment: either it drifts into a […]

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