by Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Irina Tsukerman How do strategic overconfidence, shifting war aims, and artificial intelligence reshape the risks of quagmire in Iran and Ukraine? Irina Tsukerman is a human rights and national security attorney based in New York and Connecticut. She earned her Bachelor of Arts in National and Intercultural Studies and Middle […]
by Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Irina Tsukerman Irina Tsukerman is a human rights and national security attorney based in New York and Connecticut. She earned her Bachelor of Arts in National and Intercultural Studies and Middle East Studies from Fordham University in 2006, followed by a Juris Doctor from Fordham University School of Law in […]
by Mohammed Salem Mujawar An Analysis of Recent Developments in the Yemeni Conflict and Its Options in Light of the Islamabad Negotiations Executive Summary Six weeks after the violent escalation that began with a U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran (February 28, 2026), the War of the Corridors is no longer a passing crisis remote from our […]
By Amb. Prof. Mohamed Qubaty The Structural Limits of Maritime Deterrence For much of the past decade, international approaches to Red Sea security have focused on maritime deterrence: naval patrols, interdictions, and multinational coalitions designed to contain immediate threats. These measures have played an important stabilizing role, ensuring continuity of global trade and energy flows […]
By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty For more than a decade, the Middle East has lived under a paradox that is rarely acknowledged explicitly: the more the international community fears escalation, the longer destabilizing actors survive. What was once presented as prudence and restraint has gradually evolved into a strategic pattern of hesitation, in which avoiding […]
By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty The Security Council’s move reflects a broader realization: partial conflict management has failed, and the Red Sea crisis is forcing a recalibration of Yemen strategy. The Failure of the Freeze The UN Security Council’s move to terminate the UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement (UNMHA) is being framed in […]
by Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Irina Tsukerman Irina Tsukerman is a human rights and national security attorney based in New York and Connecticut. She earned her Bachelor of Arts in National and Intercultural Studies and Middle East Studies from Fordham University in 2006, followed by a Juris Doctor from Fordham University School of Law in […]
by Giovanni Giacalone On Saturday, December 27, the Italian State Police and the Financial Guard arrested seven Palestinians suspected of collecting millions of euros in support of Hamas. Authorities also issued international arrests for two others outside the country. Three associations, officially supporting Palestinian civilians but allegedly serving as a front for funding Hamas, are […]
By Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty How restraint without Yemeni leverage turned crisis management into a doctrine of permanent escalation. One year after early warnings that U.S. restraint in Yemen was backfiring, the Red Sea crisis has become less an emergency than a condition—managed, mitigated, and endlessly postponed, but never resolved. What was once treated as […]
By: Amb. Dr. Mohamed Qubaty The Houthis’ unusually explicit messaging through al-Masirah marks a dangerous turning point in one of the most volatile security environments in the Middle East. Their announcement declaring the Oman-mediated roadmap dead is not a routine expression of revolutionary rhetoric but a calculated signal of escalation. As analysts such as Fatima […]